Infrastructure
Global connectivity
Measured in people newly connected. The numbers below are transparent inputs — argue with them.
Why it scores the way it does
Importance × Tractability × Neglectedness (each 0–10) sets the bet's impact ceiling. Composite = 0.252 → ceiling 25.2 pts.
Importancehow much the problem matters7/10
Tractabilityhow solvable with money now9/10
Neglectednesshow underfunded it is today4/10
Diminishing returns
Each added billion does a little less than the last. The field saturates around $16B (≈63% of the ceiling). Marginal impact of the next $B at $10B funded: 0.84 pts/$B.
Assumptions, in the open
Satellite and rural broadband are very tractable and already well capitalised, so neglectedness is low. Large, slowly-saturating capacity to absorb funding.
bet.audit
$ moonshot-impact inspect global-connectivityfingerprint 1d8a0586ba3ab7eeitn I=7 T=9 N=4composite 0.252ceiling 25.2 ptssaturation $16Bsource illustrative input · not a measurement