← Back to the portfolio

Resources

Sustainable water & food

Measured in people food/water-secure. The numbers below are transparent inputs — argue with them.

Why it scores the way it does

Importance × Tractability × Neglectedness (each 0–10) sets the bet's impact ceiling. Composite = 0.336 → ceiling 33.6 pts.

Importancehow much the problem matters8/10
Tractabilityhow solvable with money now6/10
Neglectednesshow underfunded it is today7/10

Diminishing returns

Each added billion does a little less than the last. The field saturates around $12B (≈63% of the ceiling). Marginal impact of the next $B at $10B funded: 1.22 pts/$B.

ceiling 34 pts$40B funded →

Assumptions, in the open

Desalination, drought-resilient crops and precision agriculture matter enormously and remain comparatively under-resourced relative to the need.

bet.audit
$ moonshot-impact inspect water-food
fingerprint  c346e87df684fc7a
itn          I=8 T=6 N=7
composite    0.336
ceiling      33.6 pts
saturation   $12B
source       illustrative input · not a measurement